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Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases

The chance for a thirty-year-old of dying before 70 of cancer, diabetes, heart disease or respiratory disease.

Unit: % Period: 2000–2021 Source: Global Health Observatory (WHO)
Source: WHO · About the indicator
Average: 18.9% Countries: 185

The ranking uses the latest available value for each country. For all of them that is 2021.

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases, 2021

Top-20 · %

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases, 20212530354045KiribatiKiribati: 44.1%44.1Solomon IslandsSolomon Islands: 40.6%40.6MicronesiaMicronesia: 40.5%40.5FijiFiji: 37.9%37.9VanuatuVanuatu: 36.8%36.8LesothoLesotho: 36.3%36.3AfghanistanAfghanistan: 32.7%32.7EswatiniEswatini: 32.3%32.3SamoaSamoa: 32.3%32.3PhilippinesPhilippines: 31.9%31.9HaitiHaiti: 31.6%31.6ZimbabweZimbabwe: 31.2%31.2Central African RepublicCentral African Republic: 30.8%30.8Papua New GuineaPapua New Guinea: 28.5%28.5SomaliaSomalia: 27.6%27.6EritreaEritrea: 27.3%27.3TongaTonga: 26.9%26.9MozambiqueMozambique: 26.6%26.6LaosLaos: 26.5%26.5MongoliaMongolia: 26.3%26.3

The scale does not start at zero — the values lie in a narrow range, and starting from zero the bars would be indistinguishable. The axis ticks are labeled.

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — 2021 Current breakdown Full series CSV XLSX JSON
# Year Subregion World rank
1 KI Kiribati 44.1 2021 185
2 SB Solomon Islands 40.6 2021 184
3 FM Micronesia 40.5 2021 183
4 FJ Fiji 37.9 2021 182
5 VU Vanuatu 36.8 2021 181
6 LS Lesotho 36.3 2021 180
7 AF Afghanistan 32.7 2021 179
8 SZ Eswatini 32.3 2021 177
9 WS Samoa 32.3 2021 177
10 PH Philippines 31.9 2021 176
11 HT Haiti 31.6 2021 175
12 ZW Zimbabwe 31.2 2021 174
13 CF Central African Republic 30.8 2021 173
14 PG Papua New Guinea 28.5 2021 172
15 SO Somalia 27.6 2021 171
16 ER Eritrea 27.3 2021 170
17 TO Tonga 26.9 2021 169
18 MZ Mozambique 26.6 2021 168
19 LA Laos 26.5 2021 167
20 MN Mongolia 26.3 2021 166
21 EG Egypt 26 2021 165
22 MG Madagascar 25.9 2021 164
23 YE Yemen 25.8 2021 163
24 TM Turkmenistan 25.7 2021 162
25 BG Bulgaria 25.6 2021 161
26 PK Pakistan 25.5 2021 160
27 GY Guyana 25.4 2021 158
28 TG Togo 25.4 2021 158
29 GW Guinea-Bissau 25.3 2021 157
30 CD Democratic Republic of the Congo 25.1 2021 156
31 MW Malawi 24.9 2021 155
32 BI Burundi 24.8 2021 153
33 UA Ukraine 24.8 2021 153
34 AO Angola 24.7 2021 151
35 MD Moldova 24.7 2021 151
36 UZ Uzbekistan 24.6 2021 150
37 CM Cameroon 24.3 2021 149
38 MM Myanmar 24 2021 148
39 SL Sierra Leone 23.9 2021 147
40 BY Belarus 23.8 2021 146
41 KP North Korea 23.7 2021 145
42 GN Guinea 23.6 2021 141
43 IN India 23.6 2021 141
44 VC Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 23.6 2021 141
45 ZM Zambia 23.6 2021 141
46 BF Burkina Faso 23.4 2021 139
47 TD Chad 23.4 2021 139
48 NA Namibia 23.1 2021 138
49 ML Mali 23 2021 137
50 CI Côte d'Ivoire 22.7 2021 133
51 IQ Iraq 22.7 2021 133
52 LV Latvia 22.7 2021 133
53 ZA South Africa 22.7 2021 133
54 KH Cambodia 22.6 2021 132
55 RU Russia 22.4 2021 130
56 SS South Sudan 22.4 2021 130
57 GH Ghana 22.2 2021 129
58 GE Georgia 22.1 2021 128
59 LR Liberia 22 2021 126
60 MA Morocco 22 2021 126
61 ID Indonesia 21.9 2021 125
62 GM Gambia 21.8 2021 124
63 HU Hungary 21.7 2021 122
64 MU Mauritius 21.7 2021 122
65 RO Romania 21.5 2021 120
66 UG Uganda 21.5 2021 120
67 SN Senegal 21.4 2021 119
68 SY Syria 21.3 2021 118
69 KZ Kazakhstan 21.2 2021 115
70 CG Republic of the Congo 21.2 2021 115
71 SD Sudan 21.2 2021 115
72 BJ Benin 20.8 2021 114
73 RS Serbia 20.7 2021 113
74 AM Armenia 20.6 2021 111
75 DJ Djibouti 20.6 2021 111
76 BS Bahamas 20.4 2021 110
77 GQ Equatorial Guinea 20.3 2021 108
78 TT Trinidad and Tobago 20.3 2021 108
79 KM Comoros 20.2 2021 105
80 JM Jamaica 20.2 2021 105
81 NE Niger 20.2 2021 105
82 TL Timor-Leste 20.1 2021 103
83 VN Vietnam 20.1 2021 103
84 RW Rwanda 20 2021 102
85 BO Bolivia 19.9 2021 100
86 MY Malaysia 19.9 2021 100
87 LY Libya 19.8 2021 98
88 LT Lithuania 19.8 2021 98
89 MK North Macedonia 19.6 2021 97
90 ST Sao Tome and Principe 19.5 2021 96
91 NP Nepal 19.4 2021 95
92 BW Botswana 19 2021 94
93 KG Kyrgyzstan 18.8 2021 92
94 TZ Tanzania 18.8 2021 92
95 MR Mauritania 18.7 2021 89
96 SR Suriname 18.7 2021 89
97 VE Venezuela 18.7 2021 89
98 PS Palestine 18.3 2021 88
99 BD Bangladesh 18.1 2021 85
100 GA Gabon 18.1 2021 85
101 TJ Tajikistan 18.1 2021 85
102 KE Kenya 18 2021 83
103 ME Montenegro 18 2021 83
104 HN Honduras 17.8 2021 82
105 NG Nigeria 17.7 2021 81
106 CU Cuba 17.6 2021 80
107 AZ Azerbaijan 17.4 2021 77
108 DO Dominican Republic 17.4 2021 77
109 UY Uruguay 17.4 2021 77
110 BA Bosnia and Herzegovina 17.2 2021 75
111 CV Cabo Verde 17.2 2021 75
112 GD Grenada 17.1 2021 74
113 PL Poland 17 2021 73
114 ET Ethiopia 16.8 2021 72
115 SK Slovakia 16.6 2021 71
116 MX Mexico 16.3 2021 70
117 PY Paraguay 16.1 2021 69
118 BT Bhutan 15.9 2021 66
119 CN China 15.9 2021 66
120 HR Croatia 15.9 2021 66
121 SC Seychelles 15.6 2021 65
122 EE Estonia 15.5 2021 63
123 LC Saint Lucia 15.5 2021 63
124 BZ Belize 15.4 2021 61
125 TR Türkiye 15.4 2021 61
126 BN Brunei Darussalam 14.9 2021 60
127 BH Bahrain 14.8 2021 59
128 GT Guatemala 14.6 2021 57
129 OM Oman 14.6 2021 57
130 BR Brazil 14.5 2021 55
131 TH Thailand 14.5 2021 55
132 CZ Czechia 14.2 2021 54
133 BB Barbados 14 2021 53
134 IR Iran 13.9 2021 51
135 LK Sri Lanka 13.9 2021 51
136 US United States 13.7 2021 50
137 SA Saudi Arabia 13.6 2021 49
138 AR Argentina 13.4 2021 48
139 DZ Algeria 13.3 2021 47
140 EC Ecuador 13.2 2021 46
141 TN Tunisia 13 2021 45
142 SV El Salvador 12.6 2021 43
143 NI Nicaragua 12.6 2021 43
144 PE Peru 12.3 2021 42
145 AG Antigua and Barbuda 12.1 2021 40
146 QA Qatar 12.1 2021 40
147 GR Greece 12 2021 39
148 LB Lebanon 11.9 2021 38
149 DE Germany 11.6 2021 34
150 JO Jordan 11.6 2021 34
151 SI Slovenia 11.6 2021 34
152 AE United Arab Emirates 11.6 2021 34
153 GB United Kingdom 11 2021 33
154 PA Panama 10.9 2021 32
155 DK Denmark 10.7 2021 31
156 PT Portugal 10.5 2021 30
157 CO Colombia 10.3 2021 27
158 NZ New Zealand 10.3 2021 27
159 SG Singapore 10.3 2021 27
160 FR France 10.2 2021 26
161 PR Puerto Rico 10.1 2021 25
162 AL Albania 10 2021 24
163 AT Austria 9.9 2021 21
164 CR Costa Rica 9.9 2021 21
165 NL Netherlands 9.9 2021 21
166 MT Malta 9.8 2021 20
167 CA Canada 9.7 2021 19
168 FI Finland 9.6 2021 17
169 IE Ireland 9.6 2021 17
170 CL Chile 9.4 2021 16
171 KW Kuwait 9.3 2021 14
172 ES Spain 9.3 2021 14
173 BE Belgium 9.2 2021 13
174 IT Italy 9.1 2021 12
175 MV Maldives 9 2021 11
176 CY Cyprus 8.5 2021 9
177 IS Iceland 8.5 2021 9
178 AU Australia 8.3 2021 8
179 JP Japan 8 2021 7
180 SE Sweden 7.9 2021 6
181 LU Luxembourg 7.8 2021 4
182 NO Norway 7.8 2021 4
183 IL Israel 7.6 2021 3
184 CH Switzerland 7.5 2021 2
185 KR South Korea 6.9 2021 1
Nothing found. Check the spelling of the name.
Maximum 44.1%
Median 18.8%
Minimum 6.9%
World 18.3%

About the indicator

The probability that a person who has reached the age of 30 will die before 70 from one of four groups of noncommunicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease. This is not the share of those who died but a calculated risk based on current age-specific mortality rates. The indicator belongs to the Sustainable Development Goals as the principal measure of the burden of noncommunicable diseases, because it takes precisely premature mortality — death before the age that is considered expected.

Important: Four groups of diseases, not all noncommunicable ones: that is how SDG target 3.4 is set. The age range 30–70 is chosen in order to separate premature mortality from mortality in old age.

Updates
annually
Unit of measurement
%
Observation period
2000–2021
License
CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO
Dataset
Global Health Observatory

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