Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — all countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Nigeria

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases in Nigeria in 2021 — 17.7%. Ranked 81 in the world out of 185. Since 2000, the indicator has fallen by 3.2 pp.

2021 17.7% −0.2 pp vs 2020
World rank 81of 185
Period maximum 21.1%2001
Period minimum 17.1%2017

Trend over time

2000–2021 · %

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Nigeria, 2000–2021171819202122200020032006200920122015201820212000: 20.9%2001: 21.1%2002: 20.7%2003: 20.2%2004: 20%2005: 19.4%2006: 19.2%2007: 18.9%2008: 18.6%2009: 18.6%2010: 18.3%2011: 18.1%2012: 18%2013: 17.9%2014: 17.6%2015: 17.4%2016: 17.3%2017: 17.1%2018: 17.1%2019: 17.1%2020: 17.9%2021: 17.7%
Change over the period: −3.2 pp Annual average: -0.15 pp

Comparison, 2021

How the value compares with the world and the groups this territory belongs to: Nigeria

Nigeria 17.7%
World 18.3%
Western Africa computed 19.9%
Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Nigeria, by year Nigeria All countries CSV XLSX
Year % Change, pp
2021 17.7 −0.2 pp
2020 17.9 +0.8 pp
2019 17.1 +0 pp
2018 17.1 +0 pp
2017 17.1 −0.2 pp
2016 17.3 −0.1 pp
2015 17.4 −0.2 pp
2014 17.6 −0.3 pp
2013 17.9 −0.1 pp
2012 18 −0.1 pp
2011 18.1 −0.2 pp
2010 18.3 −0.3 pp
2009 18.6 +0 pp
2008 18.6 −0.3 pp
2007 18.9 −0.3 pp
2006 19.2 −0.2 pp
2005 19.4 −0.6 pp
2004 20 −0.2 pp
2003 20.2 −0.5 pp
2002 20.7 −0.4 pp
2001 21.1 +0.2 pp
2000 20.9

About the indicator

The probability that a person who has reached the age of 30 will die before 70 from one of four groups of noncommunicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease. This is not the share of those who died but a calculated risk based on current age-specific mortality rates. The indicator belongs to the Sustainable Development Goals as the principal measure of the burden of noncommunicable diseases, because it takes precisely premature mortality — death before the age that is considered expected.

Important: Four groups of diseases, not all noncommunicable ones: that is how SDG target 3.4 is set. The age range 30–70 is chosen in order to separate premature mortality from mortality in old age.

Source: Global Health Observatory (WHO), license CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.