Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — all countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Sub-Saharan Africa

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases in Sub-Saharan Africa in 2021 — 21.3%. Since 2000, the indicator has fallen by 2.8 pp.

2021 21.3% −0.6 pp vs 2020
World rank
Period maximum 24.1%2000
Period minimum 21.3%2021

Trend over time

2000–2021 · %

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–20212122232425200020032006200920122015201820212000: 24.1%2001: 23.9%2002: 23.8%2003: 23.7%2004: 23.5%2005: 23.1%2006: 23%2007: 22.9%2008: 22.8%2009: 22.7%2010: 22.7%2011: 22.5%2012: 22.2%2013: 22.1%2014: 22%2015: 21.9%2016: 21.8%2017: 21.7%2018: 21.7%2019: 21.5%2020: 21.9%2021: 21.3%
Change over the period: −2.8 pp Annual average: -0.13 pp

Comparison, 2021

How the value compares with the world and the groups this territory belongs to: Sub-Saharan Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa 21.3%
World 18.3%
Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Sub-Saharan Africa, by year Sub-Saharan Africa All countries CSV XLSX
Year % Change, pp
2021 21.3 −0.6 pp
2020 21.9 +0.4 pp
2019 21.5 −0.2 pp
2018 21.7 +0 pp
2017 21.7 −0.2 pp
2016 21.8 −0.1 pp
2015 21.9 −0 pp
2014 22 −0.1 pp
2013 22.1 −0.1 pp
2012 22.2 −0.3 pp
2011 22.5 −0.2 pp
2010 22.7 −0 pp
2009 22.7 −0.1 pp
2008 22.8 −0.1 pp
2007 22.9 −0.1 pp
2006 23 −0.1 pp
2005 23.1 −0.4 pp
2004 23.5 −0.2 pp
2003 23.7 −0.1 pp
2002 23.8 −0.1 pp
2001 23.9 −0.2 pp
2000 24.1

About the indicator

The probability that a person who has reached the age of 30 will die before 70 from one of four groups of noncommunicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease. This is not the share of those who died but a calculated risk based on current age-specific mortality rates. The indicator belongs to the Sustainable Development Goals as the principal measure of the burden of noncommunicable diseases, because it takes precisely premature mortality — death before the age that is considered expected.

Important: Four groups of diseases, not all noncommunicable ones: that is how SDG target 3.4 is set. The age range 30–70 is chosen in order to separate premature mortality from mortality in old age.

Source: Global Health Observatory (WHO), license CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.