Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — all countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — World

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases in the world in 2021 — 18.3%. Since 2000, the indicator has fallen by 4.3 pp.

2021 18.3% −0 pp vs 2020
World rank
Period maximum 22.6%2000
Period minimum 18.3%2021

Trend over time

2000–2021 · %

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — World, 2000–202118202224200020032006200920122015201820212000: 22.6%2001: 22.3%2002: 22.2%2003: 22%2004: 21.6%2005: 21.3%2006: 20.8%2007: 20.5%2008: 20.3%2009: 20.1%2010: 20%2011: 19.7%2012: 19.5%2013: 19.1%2014: 18.9%2015: 18.9%2016: 18.8%2017: 18.6%2018: 18.6%2019: 18.5%2020: 18.3%2021: 18.3%
Change over the period: −4.3 pp Annual average: -0.2 pp

Comparison, 2021

How the value compares with the world and the groups this territory belongs to: World

World 18.3%
World 18.3%
Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — World, by year World All countries CSV XLSX
Year % Change, pp
2021 18.3 −0 pp
2020 18.3 −0.2 pp
2019 18.5 −0.1 pp
2018 18.6 +0 pp
2017 18.6 −0.2 pp
2016 18.8 −0.1 pp
2015 18.9 −0 pp
2014 18.9 −0.2 pp
2013 19.1 −0.4 pp
2012 19.5 −0.2 pp
2011 19.7 −0.2 pp
2010 20 −0.1 pp
2009 20.1 −0.2 pp
2008 20.3 −0.2 pp
2007 20.5 −0.4 pp
2006 20.8 −0.5 pp
2005 21.3 −0.3 pp
2004 21.6 −0.4 pp
2003 22 −0.1 pp
2002 22.2 −0.1 pp
2001 22.3 −0.3 pp
2000 22.6

About the indicator

The probability that a person who has reached the age of 30 will die before 70 from one of four groups of noncommunicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease. This is not the share of those who died but a calculated risk based on current age-specific mortality rates. The indicator belongs to the Sustainable Development Goals as the principal measure of the burden of noncommunicable diseases, because it takes precisely premature mortality — death before the age that is considered expected.

Important: Four groups of diseases, not all noncommunicable ones: that is how SDG target 3.4 is set. The age range 30–70 is chosen in order to separate premature mortality from mortality in old age.

Source: Global Health Observatory (WHO), license CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.