Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — all countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Bulgaria

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases in Bulgaria in 2021 — 25.6%. Ranked 161 in the world out of 185. Since 2000, the indicator has fallen by 2.9 pp.

2021 25.6% +0.5 pp vs 2020
World rank 161of 185
Period maximum 28.5%2000
Period minimum 23.9%2013

Trend over time

2000–2021 · %

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Bulgaria, 2000–20212224262830200020032006200920122015201820212000: 28.5%2001: 28.1%2002: 27.9%2003: 27.9%2004: 27.6%2005: 27.6%2006: 27.5%2007: 26.6%2008: 25.7%2009: 25.8%2010: 25.6%2011: 25.1%2012: 24.3%2013: 23.9%2014: 24.7%2015: 24.3%2016: 24.4%2017: 24.4%2018: 24.3%2019: 24%2020: 25.1%2021: 25.6%
Change over the period: −2.9 pp Annual average: -0.14 pp

Comparison, 2021

How the value compares with the world and the groups this territory belongs to: Bulgaria

Bulgaria 25.6%
World 18.3%
Eastern Europe computed 21.7%
Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Bulgaria, by year Bulgaria All countries CSV XLSX
Year % Change, pp
2021 25.6 +0.5 pp
2020 25.1 +1.1 pp
2019 24 −0.3 pp
2018 24.3 −0.1 pp
2017 24.4 +0 pp
2016 24.4 +0.1 pp
2015 24.3 −0.4 pp
2014 24.7 +0.8 pp
2013 23.9 −0.4 pp
2012 24.3 −0.8 pp
2011 25.1 −0.5 pp
2010 25.6 −0.2 pp
2009 25.8 +0.1 pp
2008 25.7 −0.9 pp
2007 26.6 −0.9 pp
2006 27.5 −0.1 pp
2005 27.6 +0 pp
2004 27.6 −0.3 pp
2003 27.9 +0 pp
2002 27.9 −0.2 pp
2001 28.1 −0.4 pp
2000 28.5

About the indicator

The probability that a person who has reached the age of 30 will die before 70 from one of four groups of noncommunicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease. This is not the share of those who died but a calculated risk based on current age-specific mortality rates. The indicator belongs to the Sustainable Development Goals as the principal measure of the burden of noncommunicable diseases, because it takes precisely premature mortality — death before the age that is considered expected.

Important: Four groups of diseases, not all noncommunicable ones: that is how SDG target 3.4 is set. The age range 30–70 is chosen in order to separate premature mortality from mortality in old age.

Source: Global Health Observatory (WHO), license CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.