Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — all countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Upper-middle-income countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases in upper-middle-income countries in 2021 — 16.6%. Since 2000, the indicator has fallen by 6.4 pp.

2021 16.6% −0.2 pp vs 2020
World rank
Period maximum 23.1%2000
Period minimum 16.6%2021

Trend over time

2000–2021 · %

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Upper-middle-income countries, 2000–20211618202224200020032006200920122015201820212000: 23.1%2001: 22.7%2002: 22.6%2003: 22.5%2004: 22.3%2005: 21.7%2006: 20.9%2007: 20.3%2008: 20.1%2009: 19.8%2010: 19.6%2011: 19.3%2012: 18.9%2013: 18.5%2014: 18.1%2015: 17.9%2016: 17.7%2017: 17.4%2018: 17.1%2019: 17%2020: 16.9%2021: 16.6%
Change over the period: −6.4 pp Annual average: -0.31 pp

Comparison, 2021

How the value compares with the world and the groups this territory belongs to: Upper-middle-income countries

Upper-middle-income countries 16.6%
World 18.3%
Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Upper-middle-income countries, by year Upper-middle-income countries All countries CSV XLSX
Year % Change, pp
2021 16.6 −0.2 pp
2020 16.9 −0.1 pp
2019 17 −0.2 pp
2018 17.1 −0.2 pp
2017 17.4 −0.3 pp
2016 17.7 −0.2 pp
2015 17.9 −0.2 pp
2014 18.1 −0.4 pp
2013 18.5 −0.5 pp
2012 18.9 −0.3 pp
2011 19.3 −0.4 pp
2010 19.6 −0.2 pp
2009 19.8 −0.3 pp
2008 20.1 −0.2 pp
2007 20.3 −0.6 pp
2006 20.9 −0.8 pp
2005 21.7 −0.6 pp
2004 22.3 −0.2 pp
2003 22.5 −0.1 pp
2002 22.6 −0.1 pp
2001 22.7 −0.4 pp
2000 23.1

About the indicator

The probability that a person who has reached the age of 30 will die before 70 from one of four groups of noncommunicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease. This is not the share of those who died but a calculated risk based on current age-specific mortality rates. The indicator belongs to the Sustainable Development Goals as the principal measure of the burden of noncommunicable diseases, because it takes precisely premature mortality — death before the age that is considered expected.

Important: Four groups of diseases, not all noncommunicable ones: that is how SDG target 3.4 is set. The age range 30–70 is chosen in order to separate premature mortality from mortality in old age.

Source: Global Health Observatory (WHO), license CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.