Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — all countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Southern Africa

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases in Southern Africa in 2021 — 23.2%. Since 2000, the indicator has risen by 1.2 pp.

2021 23.2% −0.5 pp vs 2020
World rank
Period maximum 26.6%2010
Period minimum 21.7%2001

Trend over time

2000–2021 · %

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Southern Africa, 2000–20212022242628200020032006200920122015201820212000: 22%2001: 21.7%2002: 22.9%2003: 23.7%2004: 23.7%2005: 23.7%2006: 25.1%2007: 25.1%2008: 25.5%2009: 25.2%2010: 26.6%2011: 25.3%2012: 25%2013: 24.6%2014: 25%2015: 25.1%2016: 24.7%2017: 23.7%2018: 23.3%2019: 22.3%2020: 23.7%2021: 23.2%
Change over the period: +1.2 pp Annual average: 0.06 pp

Comparison, 2021

How the value compares with the world and the groups this territory belongs to: Southern Africa

Southern Africa 23.2%
World 18.3%
Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Southern Africa, by year Southern Africa All countries CSV XLSX
Year % Change, pp
2021 23.2 −0.5 pp
2020 23.7 +1.4 pp
2019 22.3 −1 pp
2018 23.3 −0.4 pp
2017 23.7 −1 pp
2016 24.7 −0.4 pp
2015 25.1 +0.1 pp
2014 25 +0.4 pp
2013 24.6 −0.4 pp
2012 25 −0.3 pp
2011 25.3 −1.3 pp
2010 26.6 +1.4 pp
2009 25.2 −0.3 pp
2008 25.5 +0.4 pp
2007 25.1 +0 pp
2006 25.1 +1.4 pp
2005 23.7 +0 pp
2004 23.7 +0.1 pp
2003 23.7 +0.8 pp
2002 22.9 +1.2 pp
2001 21.7 −0.3 pp
2000 22

About the indicator

The probability that a person who has reached the age of 30 will die before 70 from one of four groups of noncommunicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease. This is not the share of those who died but a calculated risk based on current age-specific mortality rates. The indicator belongs to the Sustainable Development Goals as the principal measure of the burden of noncommunicable diseases, because it takes precisely premature mortality — death before the age that is considered expected.

Important: Four groups of diseases, not all noncommunicable ones: that is how SDG target 3.4 is set. The age range 30–70 is chosen in order to separate premature mortality from mortality in old age.

Source: Global Health Observatory (WHO), license CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.