Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — all countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Northern Africa

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases in Northern Africa in 2021 — 21.6%. Since 2000, the indicator has fallen by 3.1 pp.

2021 21.6% −0.4 pp vs 2020
World rank
Period maximum 25.3%2003
Period minimum 21.6%2021

Trend over time

2000–2021 · %

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Northern Africa, 2000–2021212223242526200020032006200920122015201820212000: 24.7%2001: 25.1%2002: 25.1%2003: 25.3%2004: 25%2005: 24.7%2006: 24.7%2007: 24.4%2008: 24.4%2009: 24.4%2010: 24.2%2011: 23.9%2012: 24%2013: 23.3%2014: 23.5%2015: 24%2016: 23.5%2017: 22.9%2018: 23%2019: 22.7%2020: 21.9%2021: 21.6%
Change over the period: −3.1 pp Annual average: -0.15 pp

Comparison, 2021

How the value compares with the world and the groups this territory belongs to: Northern Africa

Northern Africa 21.6%
World 18.3%
Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — Northern Africa, by year Northern Africa All countries CSV XLSX
Year % Change, pp
2021 21.6 −0.4 pp
2020 21.9 −0.8 pp
2019 22.7 −0.3 pp
2018 23 +0.1 pp
2017 22.9 −0.6 pp
2016 23.5 −0.6 pp
2015 24 +0.5 pp
2014 23.5 +0.1 pp
2013 23.3 −0.7 pp
2012 24 +0.1 pp
2011 23.9 −0.3 pp
2010 24.2 −0.2 pp
2009 24.4 −0 pp
2008 24.4 −0.1 pp
2007 24.4 −0.2 pp
2006 24.7 −0.1 pp
2005 24.7 −0.2 pp
2004 25 −0.3 pp
2003 25.3 +0.1 pp
2002 25.1 −0 pp
2001 25.1 +0.4 pp
2000 24.7

About the indicator

The probability that a person who has reached the age of 30 will die before 70 from one of four groups of noncommunicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease. This is not the share of those who died but a calculated risk based on current age-specific mortality rates. The indicator belongs to the Sustainable Development Goals as the principal measure of the burden of noncommunicable diseases, because it takes precisely premature mortality — death before the age that is considered expected.

Important: Four groups of diseases, not all noncommunicable ones: that is how SDG target 3.4 is set. The age range 30–70 is chosen in order to separate premature mortality from mortality in old age.

Source: Global Health Observatory (WHO), license CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.