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Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — all countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — OECD

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases in the OECD in 2021 — 11.8%. Since 2000, the indicator has fallen by 4.6 pp.

2021 11.8% −0 pp vs 2020
World rank —
Period maximum 16.4%2000
Period minimum 11.8%2019

Trend over time

2000–2021 · %

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — OECD, 2000–20211012141618200020032006200920122015201820212000: 16.4%2001: 15.9%2002: 15.6%2003: 15.4%2004: 14.9%2005: 14.6%2006: 14.2%2007: 14%2008: 13.8%2009: 13.5%2010: 13.3%2011: 13.1%2012: 12.9%2013: 12.7%2014: 12.5%2015: 12.5%2016: 12.4%2017: 12.2%2018: 12%2019: 11.8%2020: 11.8%2021: 11.8%
Change over the period: −4.6 pp Annual average: -0.22 pp

Comparison, 2021

How the value compares with the world and the groups this territory belongs to: OECD

OECD 11.8%
World 18.3%
Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — OECD, by year OECD All countries CSV XLSX
Year % Change, pp
2021 11.8 −0 pp
2020 11.8 +0.1 pp
2019 11.8 −0.2 pp
2018 12 −0.1 pp
2017 12.2 −0.2 pp
2016 12.4 −0.1 pp
2015 12.5 −0 pp
2014 12.5 −0.2 pp
2013 12.7 −0.2 pp
2012 12.9 −0.2 pp
2011 13.1 −0.2 pp
2010 13.3 −0.2 pp
2009 13.5 −0.2 pp
2008 13.8 −0.2 pp
2007 14 −0.3 pp
2006 14.2 −0.4 pp
2005 14.6 −0.3 pp
2004 14.9 −0.5 pp
2003 15.4 −0.3 pp
2002 15.6 −0.3 pp
2001 15.9 −0.4 pp
2000 16.4 —

About the indicator

The probability that a person who has reached the age of 30 will die before 70 from one of four groups of noncommunicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease. This is not the share of those who died but a calculated risk based on current age-specific mortality rates. The indicator belongs to the Sustainable Development Goals as the principal measure of the burden of noncommunicable diseases, because it takes precisely premature mortality — death before the age that is considered expected.

Important: Four groups of diseases, not all noncommunicable ones: that is how SDG target 3.4 is set. The age range 30–70 is chosen in order to separate premature mortality from mortality in old age.

Source: Global Health Observatory (WHO), license CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.

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