Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — all countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — High-income countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases in high-income countries in 2021 — 12.7%. Since 2000, the indicator has fallen by 6.3 pp.

2021 12.7% +0 pp vs 2020
World rank
Period maximum 18.9%2000
Period minimum 12.6%2020

Trend over time

2000–2021 · %

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — High-income countries, 2000–20211214161820200020032006200920122015201820212000: 18.9%2001: 18.6%2002: 18.4%2003: 18.1%2004: 17.5%2005: 17.3%2006: 16.6%2007: 16.2%2008: 15.9%2009: 15.5%2010: 15.2%2011: 14.7%2012: 14.4%2013: 14%2014: 14%2015: 13.8%2016: 13.6%2017: 13.3%2018: 13.2%2019: 12.9%2020: 12.6%2021: 12.7%
Change over the period: −6.3 pp Annual average: -0.3 pp

Comparison, 2021

How the value compares with the world and the groups this territory belongs to: High-income countries

High-income countries 12.7%
World 18.3%
Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — High-income countries, by year High-income countries All countries CSV XLSX
Year % Change, pp
2021 12.7 +0 pp
2020 12.6 −0.2 pp
2019 12.9 −0.4 pp
2018 13.2 −0.1 pp
2017 13.3 −0.3 pp
2016 13.6 −0.1 pp
2015 13.8 −0.2 pp
2014 14 −0 pp
2013 14 −0.3 pp
2012 14.4 −0.3 pp
2011 14.7 −0.5 pp
2010 15.2 −0.3 pp
2009 15.5 −0.4 pp
2008 15.9 −0.3 pp
2007 16.2 −0.4 pp
2006 16.6 −0.7 pp
2005 17.3 −0.3 pp
2004 17.5 −0.6 pp
2003 18.1 −0.3 pp
2002 18.4 −0.2 pp
2001 18.6 −0.3 pp
2000 18.9

About the indicator

The probability that a person who has reached the age of 30 will die before 70 from one of four groups of noncommunicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease. This is not the share of those who died but a calculated risk based on current age-specific mortality rates. The indicator belongs to the Sustainable Development Goals as the principal measure of the burden of noncommunicable diseases, because it takes precisely premature mortality — death before the age that is considered expected.

Important: Four groups of diseases, not all noncommunicable ones: that is how SDG target 3.4 is set. The age range 30–70 is chosen in order to separate premature mortality from mortality in old age.

Source: Global Health Observatory (WHO), license CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.