Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — all countries

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — G7

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases in the G7 in 2021 — 11.5%. Since 2000, the indicator has fallen by 4 pp.

2021 11.5% +0 pp vs 2020
World rank
Period maximum 15.5%2000
Period minimum 11.2%2019

Trend over time

2000–2021 · %

Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — G7, 2000–202110121416200020032006200920122015201820212000: 15.5%2001: 15.1%2002: 14.9%2003: 14.6%2004: 14.1%2005: 13.8%2006: 13.5%2007: 13.2%2008: 13.1%2009: 12.8%2010: 12.6%2011: 12.4%2012: 12.3%2013: 12.1%2014: 11.9%2015: 11.9%2016: 11.8%2017: 11.7%2018: 11.5%2019: 11.2%2020: 11.4%2021: 11.5%
Change over the period: −4 pp Annual average: -0.19 pp

Comparison, 2021

How the value compares with the world and the groups this territory belongs to: G7

G7 11.5%
World 18.3%
Probability of dying from noncommunicable diseases — G7, by year G7 All countries CSV XLSX
Year % Change, pp
2021 11.5 +0 pp
2020 11.4 +0.2 pp
2019 11.2 −0.3 pp
2018 11.5 −0.1 pp
2017 11.7 −0.2 pp
2016 11.8 −0.1 pp
2015 11.9 −0 pp
2014 11.9 −0.2 pp
2013 12.1 −0.2 pp
2012 12.3 −0.1 pp
2011 12.4 −0.2 pp
2010 12.6 −0.2 pp
2009 12.8 −0.3 pp
2008 13.1 −0.2 pp
2007 13.2 −0.3 pp
2006 13.5 −0.4 pp
2005 13.8 −0.3 pp
2004 14.1 −0.5 pp
2003 14.6 −0.3 pp
2002 14.9 −0.2 pp
2001 15.1 −0.4 pp
2000 15.5

About the indicator

The probability that a person who has reached the age of 30 will die before 70 from one of four groups of noncommunicable diseases: cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes or chronic respiratory disease. This is not the share of those who died but a calculated risk based on current age-specific mortality rates. The indicator belongs to the Sustainable Development Goals as the principal measure of the burden of noncommunicable diseases, because it takes precisely premature mortality — death before the age that is considered expected.

Important: Four groups of diseases, not all noncommunicable ones: that is how SDG target 3.4 is set. The age range 30–70 is chosen in order to separate premature mortality from mortality in old age.

Source: Global Health Observatory (WHO), license CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.